Will Canada’s minority government survive
(Makes clear that it the opposition could end up in a worse position after an election)
canada goose uk site OTTAWA, March 10 (Reuters) Canada minority Conservative government is in real danger of falling in Parliament by the end Canada Goose Coats On Sale of March with an election to follow. Its main chance of survival is if it includes measures in its uk canada goose outlet March 22 budget that will garner enough opposition support for the budget to pass. canada goose uk site
canada goose jacket outlet store The Conservatives were elected in 2006 and reelected in 2008, each time with a minority of seats in the House of Commons, so they are dependent on opposition support to pass legislation. If the government falls, an election would most likely be held on May 2 or 9. canada goose jacket outlet store
buy canada goose uk Here are some possible scenarios. buy canada goose uk
GOVERNMENT canada goose outlet FALLS ON NONBUDGET MATTERS moderate likelihood
canada goose parka uk On March 21, the day before https://www.gooseyou.com the budget canada goose coats on sale announcement, the Liberals, the biggest opposition party, may have two opportunities to push through a nonconfidence motion. The Liberals are scheduled to set the House agenda on that date and can move a nonconfidence motion on a matter of their choosing. canada goose parka uk
canada goose outlet mississauga On the same day, the House of Commons will receive a report on alleged government ethics violations, and that could spur the House to canada goose factory sale say it has lost confidence in canadian goose jacket the government. canada goose outlet mississauga
canada goose outlet jackets The perceived advantage for the Liberals would be that they would bring down the government over charges of ethical misconduct and abuse of power, rather than over the economy and the budget, both seen as Conservative strong Canada Goose Jackets suits. canada goose outlet jackets
canada goose outlet uk sale If one of these nonconfidence motions passes, Finance uk canada goose Minister Jim Flaherty would not be able to deliver the budget. But it is a risky strategy, since the Conservatives would charge that the Liberals are so keen to win power that they will prevent Canada Goose Outlet a budget from being presented in fragile economic times. canada goose outlet uk sale
Another risk cheap Canada Goose for the opposition is that the Conservatives have had a substantial lead in public opinion, so the opposition could end up in a worse buy canada goose jacket cheap position in Parliament after an election than at present.
GOVERNMENT FALLS canada goose uk shop OVER ITS BUDGET low likelihood
canada goose outlet store toronto If the government does present its budget on March 22, three key votes would be expected over the following two weeks, two on proposals from opposition parties and then a final vote on the budget Canada Goose Parka itself. The final budget vote is always a Canada Goose Online confidence matter and the other two might be as well. canada goose outlet store toronto
canada goose outlet canada There had been a moderate likelihood that the government would fall over the budget, but that is less likely now that the Liberals have a way to force an earlier showdown. canada goose outlet canada
canada goose outlet location GOVERNMENT SURVIVES BOTH BUDGET AND CONFIDENCE VOTES moderate likelihood canada goose outlet location
It only takes one of the three opposition parties to prevent an election. The Liberals canada goose have signaled they will not back the government, but the separatist Bloc Quebecois or the left leaning New Democrats could latch on to a budget goodie and prevent the defeat of the government either on the budget or an earlier confidence measure. The Bloc is seeking C$2.2 billion ($2.3 billion) in compensation buy canada goose jacket for Quebec to harmonize its sales tax with the federal sales tax. The New Democrats want better support for low income seniors, more doctors, better pensions and cheaper heating fuel. It is not clear if the New Democrats would support the Conservatives if just one of their demands were met.
Some Conservatives had wanted an election because of their lead in the polls and because their party is well funded. But the government may now be tempted to sweeten the budget so as not to be forced into an election campaign after public rebukes from canada goose uk outlet the House over its ethics. ($1=$0.97 Canadian) (Reporting by Randall Palmer; editing by Peter Galloway).